Thursday, July 20, 2017

Part-1: GM India’s exit: bumpy ride comes to an end!

On 18th of May when GM India announced that it is exiting from Indian domestic market by the end of 2017, the very first thought popped up in my mind as a reaction was “how on the earth Mary Barra (The CEO of GM) & her team can come up with such a strategy which shuns you from the one of the biggest & emerging markets called India and then speak about restructuring of global operations for growth.”  My fundamental question is can you explain me how by giving up in one of the most competitively ‘growing’ market, the company plans to achieve higher growth? I intend to analyze (from two perspectives) the decision of GM India to shut down its’ car selling business to Indian customers in domestic market and focus only on production for export from India.

Part 1. What could be possible drivers behind the decision of exiting from Indian domestic market?
Part 2.  Analyzing the decision under current conditions whether it looks justified or not?

In this blog I’ll be dealing with part 1. Some of the possible drivers could be identified as under;
1. Consistent churning at the top: Constant churning at the top management never augurs well for the health of the organization and same goes with the case of GM India. Frequent changes at the top position indicate high level of uncertainty about the organization. As per this article, GM India has seen nine CEO in the span of 21 years in India. This gives average tenure of CEO around 2.5 years. Every new CEO who joins, has generally tendency to realign organization’s goals and strategies this act if done too frequently(happened in case of GM India) can keep organizations and its’ stakeholders in fragile mode. GM India never had chance to see the stable policies in terms of goals & strategies which can reap the benefits.

2. Extremely poor market share: GM India has sold around 25,823 cars in 2016-17 resulting into less than 1% market share in India. Market share break up as per SIAM is as below;
 

GM India is nowhere in the above chart which makes a strong case for shutting down the hugely unsuccessful venture in Indian market. Extremely small market share brings range of problems for any company but there is brighter side to this which will be discussed in part-2.
3. Inheritance of financial troubles of parent company & investors’ pressure: The Company (GM- USA) which was on verge of bankruptcy during 2008 crisis and bailed out by Government of USA by purchasing 61% equity stake worth of $50 Bil. has never come out truly  from financial troubles since then. Eventually government sold the stake from GM-USA with decent loss. When parent company does not have strong financial muscle, one can imagine how competitive the negotiations can be in the meeting rooms with Parent company when various country heads demanding higher budgetary allocation for their subsidiary. Indian subsidiary which has generated very low RoI (Returns on Investment) despite being present in such emerging market for more than two decades. This must have put future of GM India on radar of parent company. Lesser financial resource allocation to under-performing subsidiaries is logical decision, this financial crunch has also contributed towards decision of exiting Indian domestic market. Investors’ pressure has also generated enough heat as stock performance of GM has remained subdue. Two years back CEO Mary Barra has said that India is strategic market and will invest further & now GM India is exiting from Indian market this shows how much of investor pressure for better financial performance can lead to harsh and unwanted decisions.

4. Failure to understand Indian market & cut throat competition: Many experts have noted and highlighted the failure of certain automobile MNCs including GM India due to not being able to adopt the Indian culture and inability to understand unique requirement of Indian customers. In India many factors such as price, fuel efficiency, cost of ownership etc. play an important role unlike some of the developed markets. Interesting to observe that in such a huge Indian market Maruti Suzuki has near 50% market share while all other big MNC names such as Toyota, GM, Ford, Volkswagen etc. have managed very small fraction of the market share. One of the reasons is lack of small car portfolio (Most of the MNCs never had much of small cars in their portfolio as in other developed markets big cars are demanded more) which is most successful auto segment in Indian consumer market. Lack of consistent product and brand strategy has also played its’ role in denting the position of GM India. It started with Opel brands with Astra & Corsa, then around 2003 it introduced Chevrolet brand and later it has moved to Chinese models. Frequent launches and withdrawals of cars have led to shallow brand loyalty and very challenging new customer acquisition.